Wild Card Penance + Divisional Picks

2-2. Half right, half wrong. Not what I was going for. Houston and Baltimore seemed like easy picks to me, and they turned out the way I expected. I took a flyer on Minnesota +8.5, not expecting the line to move to +10.5 because of a rookie QB throwing his first pass of the season in the the playoffs, only to miss by 20 feet. Whatever, them’s the breaks. The Washington game stunned be a bit, especially after being up 17 (+3 with a 14 point lead) through the first qtr. Great game, bad injury… to my wallet.

My Divisional picks through the years haven’t been as good as my Wild Card, so tread with caution. I’m saying that to myself.. listen Dov. Excuse me. Listen dum dum. You don’t pick this round very well. 

DENVER -10 over baltimore
green bay 3 over SAN FRANCISCO
ATLANTA (-2.5 I’m a fool) over seattle
NEW ENGLAND (-9.5 bet the farm, or a bar of gold) over houston 

My 2012 NFL Season + Wild Card Picks

I don’t have any words for it, so I’ll use a sound…meh. Meh is all I have to describe my results for the 2012 NFL season. I’m still on the uptick since an abysmal 2008 (45%) but still nowhere near my early success of 57% in 2007. 

A brief history: I’ve picked every NFL game ATS (against the spread) since 2007 with lines posted on Wednesday afternoon. Below are the year Win-Loss and overall percentage. ~53% keeps you ahead of the vig, so I’m still not where I want to be but at least I’m stabilizing.

2012: 133-123 = 52%
2011: 130-126 = 51%
2010: 128-128 = 50%
2009: 120-136 = 47%
2008: 115-141 = 45%
2007: 140-105-11 = 57%

Now we come to Wild Card weekend, the one round of the playoffs where I’ve had tremendous success over the same time period (2007 - 2011) with a 65% win rate. 

2011: 3-1
2010: 3-1
2009: 1-3
2008: 3-1
2007: 3-1

Rather than go in to my thought process on each game, I’m just going to post my picks. They’re based half on historical data and half of gut feeling. Take each with a grain of salt. Unless I’m right. Then the right ones should have been treated as gospel. 

HOUSTON -4.5 over cincinnati
minnesota +8.5 over GREEN BAY
BALTIMORE -7 over indianapolis
WASHINGTON +3 over seattle 

2011 NY Jets Record Prediction

As Hurricane Irene hauls her media hyped false-apocalyptic self out of existence and this weekend of being trapped indoors draws to a close, what better time is there to make my predictions for the upcoming NY Jets 2011 season. It’s simple… Since 2009, I look at the 17 game schedule and predict which games they’ll win, which they’ll lose and eventually what their overall record will be.  

In 2009 I predicted they would go 10-6 and they finished 9-7? In terms of the record, yeah, pretty close. However, when looking at the individual games I went 5-11. Not so hot. 

2010 was a different story. Last year I picked them to go 11-5 and they did just that. My personal record? 14-2, missing only the Week 5 Minnesota Monday night game and the Week 16 game at Chicago. 

I somehow doubt I can go 14-2 again, but I’m sure as hell going to try. 

My 2011 New York Jets picks by game. 10-6. (made on 8/28/11)

J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS!!!

Wow I suck. Just shy of 2 full years since my last post. Well, that’s going to change. The world (well, New York, which is basically the world) is almost through with the blistering heat. Soon bathing suit season will be gone and we will enter the much more physically demanding couch season. Rock hard abs? Try sitting on a couch watching football from 12p to 10p. That takes some determination. 
While the month of August works its way to a close, I leave you with the next LPGA superstar. Yani Tseng, watch your back. 

Wow I suck. Just shy of 2 full years since my last post. Well, that’s going to change. The world (well, New York, which is basically the world) is almost through with the blistering heat. Soon bathing suit season will be gone and we will enter the much more physically demanding couch season. Rock hard abs? Try sitting on a couch watching football from 12p to 10p. That takes some determination. 

While the month of August works its way to a close, I leave you with the next LPGA superstar. Yani Tseng, watch your back. 

Finally I feel safe in saying we have come to the best season of the year, the Fall. We got tastes of it here and there in early September only to have a dreaded 80 degree day rear its ugly head. While I understand why many people enjoy the Summer, it lost it’s luster for me once I stopped having off from school for 3 months. Sweating my way to work in Manhattan during a 90 degree day is not enjoyable by anyone’s standards. Oh, you think it is? Liar. Yeah you, you lie.
With the Fall comes Football, new TV, cooler relaxing weather, seasonal Oktoberfest beers, Halloween, Thanksgiving, fresh apples, baseball playoffs (for those who still care) and pumpkins. I can think of no better time during the year than when Autumn starts through the beginning of Winter and the holiday season. What does the Summer give us? Heat. No good holidays, nothing to watch on TV. Heat.
Speaking of football, I’m 1-2 for my Jets picks for the season and I couldn’t be happier. My over/under picks for the season, however? Not so dandy.
Here’s to a 2 month long Fall season that doesn’t turn bitter cold too fast.

Finally I feel safe in saying we have come to the best season of the year, the Fall. We got tastes of it here and there in early September only to have a dreaded 80 degree day rear its ugly head. While I understand why many people enjoy the Summer, it lost it’s luster for me once I stopped having off from school for 3 months. Sweating my way to work in Manhattan during a 90 degree day is not enjoyable by anyone’s standards. Oh, you think it is? Liar. Yeah you, you lie.

With the Fall comes Football, new TV, cooler relaxing weather, seasonal Oktoberfest beers, Halloween, Thanksgiving, fresh apples, baseball playoffs (for those who still care) and pumpkins. I can think of no better time during the year than when Autumn starts through the beginning of Winter and the holiday season. What does the Summer give us? Heat. No good holidays, nothing to watch on TV. Heat.

Speaking of football, I’m 1-2 for my Jets picks for the season and I couldn’t be happier. My over/under picks for the season, however? Not so dandy.

Here’s to a 2 month long Fall season that doesn’t turn bitter cold too fast.

Your 2009 New York Jets

With what I am considering to be the final nail in the coffin that holds the 2009 New York Mets (that being an unassisted triple play to end a game,) I am now washing my hands of that mess and moving on to what will hopefully be greener (‘gang’, yeah, I’m a riot) pastures.

I’m not sure why I’ve never done this before, but I’m going to take a stab at what I think their record will be at the end of the 2009 regular season, along with where I believe the wins and losses will come from.

Monday, January 4th should be comical.

Week 1 @ Houston - L (0-1)
Week 2 New England - L (0-2)
Week 3 Tennessee - W (1-2)
Week 4 @ New Orleans - W (2-2)
Week 5 @ Miami - W (3-2)
Week 6 Buffalo - W (4-2)
Week 7 @ Oakland - W (5-2)
Week 8 Miami - W (6-2)
Week 9 BYE
Week 10 Jacksonville - W (7-2)
Week 11 @ New England - L (7-3)
Week 12 Carolina - L (7-4)
Week 13 @ Buffalo - L (7-5)
Week 14 @ Tampa Bay - W (8-5)
Week 15 Atlanta - W (9-5)
Week 16 @ Indianapolis - L (9-6)
Week 17 Cincinnati - W (10-6)

Overall record of 10-6 with a divisional record of 3-3. Hopefully thats good enough for a Wild Card.

I repeat, January 4th should be an absolute hoot.

I just spent the last week of my life in Tampa, FL. Other than having an inability to sleep and being trapped in the convention center for the vast majority of each day, it was nice to get out of the New York area for awhile. I’ll be uploading a full Tampa photo set in the near future, but for now I have uploaded daily pictures to project365 on Flickr.

I just spent the last week of my life in Tampa, FL. Other than having an inability to sleep and being trapped in the convention center for the vast majority of each day, it was nice to get out of the New York area for awhile. I’ll be uploading a full Tampa photo set in the near future, but for now I have uploaded daily pictures to project365 on Flickr.

Playing with color and saturation in Lightroom.

Playing with color and saturation in Lightroom.

This is a bottle of BRENNIViN that my roommate brought back from his trip to Iceland. Looks like Scope and he said it doesn’t taste all that different. All I know is I’m a sucker for foreign liquor and it looks very classy in this picture.  

BTW, follow me on Twitter. You know you want to. www.twitter.com/idovermani

This is a bottle of BRENNIViN that my roommate brought back from his trip to Iceland. Looks like Scope and he said it doesn’t taste all that different. All I know is I’m a sucker for foreign liquor and it looks very classy in this picture.

BTW, follow me on Twitter. You know you want to. www.twitter.com/idovermani

Yesterday, at the last minute I decided to buy a ticket off of some kid from Craigslist to go see Jimmy Eat World play Clarity in it’s entirety at Terminal 5. This show did not disappoint. Unfortunately the Canon PowerShot SD880 IS point-and-shoot that I had on me did. The camera is terrible in low light situations and as slow as can be. I guess I’ll have to install the hacks and see if that helps any. 

The picture above is one of the only halfway decent ones that I was able to shoot. Luckily, there were people in there who brought much better cameras and even some who got HD footage of some of the songs. 

You can view some of the reviews here and here and watch ‘Just Watch the Fireworks’ here.

Yesterday, at the last minute I decided to buy a ticket off of some kid from Craigslist to go see Jimmy Eat World play Clarity in it’s entirety at Terminal 5. This show did not disappoint. Unfortunately the Canon PowerShot SD880 IS point-and-shoot that I had on me did. The camera is terrible in low light situations and as slow as can be. I guess I’ll have to install the hacks and see if that helps any.

The picture above is one of the only halfway decent ones that I was able to shoot. Luckily, there were people in there who brought much better cameras and even some who got HD footage of some of the songs.

You can view some of the reviews here and here and watch ‘Just Watch the Fireworks’ here.